Forecast: Orange Juice Export in Canada

The export volume of orange juice from Canada has seen significant fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2014, there was a notable increase, but the years following saw a sharp decline, with steep drops in 2017 and 2018. The trend showed some recovery in 2021; however, the numbers remained low thereafter. The value for 2023 stood at 0.359 thousand metric tons, representing a 9.11% decrease from 2022. The 5-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was 32.17%, reflecting sporadic growth amid overall decline. Forecasts suggest a continued downward trend, with a 5-year CAGR of -10.74% and an anticipated 43.34% decrease by 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

Factors such as global supply chain disruptions, climate impacts on orange yield, and shifting consumer preferences toward alternative fruit juices or fresh juices could influence the export volumes. Additionally, tariff policies, trade agreements, and competitive market dynamics may further shape the trajectory of Canada’s orange juice exports.

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