Forecast: Turnover of Reinsurance in France

The turnover of the reinsurance market in France has shown significant fluctuations across the years. From 2013 to 2016, the market experienced variable growth, peaking in 2015 and then suffering a sharp decline the following year. Between 2019 and 2023, the market displayed a consistent downtrend with minor upticks, recording a turnover of €11.43 billion in 2023. The year-on-year variations reveal a generally negative trend, especially notable is the decline over the last two years with a decrease of around 2.44% in 2023 and a CAGR of -1.77% over the last five years.

Looking forward, the forecast data for 2024 through 2028 indicates a continued slow decline in market turnover, with a CAGR of -2.07% and an overall drop of approximately 9.92% by 2028. This suggests a steady decrease in the value of the reinsurance market in the near future.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impact of regulatory changes and their influence on reinsurance market dynamics.
  • Emerging risks such as climate change, cyber threats, and their implications on reinsurance demand.
  • Technological advancements and how they might streamline operations and impact market turnover.
  • Global economic conditions and how shifts may affect the reinsurance sector.

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