In 2023, the total number of second grade repeaters in secondary education in Germany was 9.99 thousand persons. From 2024, a downward trend is projected, with values expected to decrease to 8.58 thousand by 2028. Year-on-year variation from 2024 to 2025 is approximately -2.9%, and from 2026 to 2027 is -3.0%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is around -3.0%, indicating a steady decline in the number of repeaters.

Future trends to watch for:

Policy changes in educational systems that could further impact repetition rates.
Continued emphasis on individual learning programs may reduce repeat rates.
Economic and social factors influencing student performance and progression.