The non-renewable municipal waste available for final consumption in the UK is projected to increase steadily from 6.09 thousand terajoules in 2024 to 6.53 thousand terajoules by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year growth rate of approximately 2% annually. In 2023, the volume recorded was 5.98 thousand terajoules, marking the starting point of this upward trend. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the next five years is forecasted to be around 2.17%.

Future trends to watch for include:

Efforts to reduce non-renewable waste through increased recycling and waste-to-energy conversion technologies.
Regulatory changes aimed at minimizing waste production and enhancing sustainability.
Technological advancements that could impact the generation and management of non-renewable waste.