Analyzing the forecast for sweeteners production in Kenya reveals a consistent decline over the forecast period. In 2023, sweeteners production stood at 511.70 thousand metric tons. The forecasted data shows a decrease to 498.93 thousand metric tons in 2024, which is a 2.5% decline from 2023. Subsequently, the production continues to fall annually, with values of 486.2, 473.73, 461.5, and 449.52 thousand metric tons from 2025 to 2028, showing year-on-year declines of 2.6%, 2.7%, 2.6%, and 2.6% respectively. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the forecast period is around -2.8%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on agricultural output, government policies on sugarcane farming, and shifts in global sweetener demand that may influence domestic production. Technological advancements in agriculture and potential investments in the sector could also alter this downward trend.
