Forecast: Real Estate Contribution to Gross Value Added Growth in Indonesia

In 2023, the real estate sector in Indonesia contributed a value of 0.050 to the Gross Value Added (GVA). The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a consistent decline in the sector's contribution: 0.046 in 2024, 0.039 in 2025, 0.032 in 2026, 0.026 in 2027, and 0.021 in 2028. The year-on-year variations show a decline of approximately 13% from 2024 to 2025 and around 18% from 2025 to 2026. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over this five-year period indicates an average annual decrease of roughly 13.5%.

Future trends to watch for include potential regulatory changes, shifts in foreign investment, infrastructure development, and economic policies that could mitigate or exacerbate this declining trend. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anticipating changes in the real estate sector's contribution to Indonesia's GVA.

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