As of 2023, the share of scientific publications among the world's top 10% most-cited in Visual Arts and Performing Arts in the US was at 10.15%. From 2024 to 2028, a forecasted decline in this share is observed, dropping from 10.07% in 2024 to 9.81% in 2028. The year-on-year percentage changes indicate a steady, slight decrease. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period highlights an average annual decrease in the share of high-impact publications.
Future trends to watch for include shifts in academic focus, funding changes, and the integration of technology in visual and performing arts research which could impact the number of high-impact publications. Monitoring these factors can provide insights into potential reversals or accelerations in current trends.