Fresh groupers and seabasses production in Italian capture fisheries is forecasted to decline significantly from 2024 to 2028, starting at 48.7 metric tons in 2024 and decreasing to 15.9 metric tons by 2028. This represents a year-on-year contraction trend: -17.2% from 2024 to 2025, -20.3% from 2025 to 2026, -25.5% from 2026 to 2027, and -33.5% from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is expected to reflect a negative intake, indicating a substantial annualized decrease in production.

Future trends to watch for include:

Increasing pressure from climate change affecting marine biodiversity.
Regulatory measures to prevent overfishing might further restrict capture volumes.
Shifts towards aquaculture as an alternative to meet demand.
Technological advancements and alternative sources of protein could influence demand patterns.