From 2013 to 2023, the municipal material recycling rate in Germany, measured in kilograms per capita, has seen varied changes. Starting from 286 kg per capita in 2013, the value reached 302 kg per capita in 2023.
The year-on-year changes have fluctuated, with noticeable peaks and declines. For instance, from 2013 to 2014, there was a 4.9% increase, and from 2016 to 2017, a slight dip of 0.65%, followed by declines in 2018 and 2019 at 2.93% and 2.01% respectively. The rate stabilized with minimal fluctuations in the recent years with a consistent value from 2021 to 2023.
Looking at the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over different periods, the trend has shifted from a 2.29% increase in 2015 to a more stable yet nearly flat rate in recent years. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts an approximate 0.07% CAGR, suggesting a very slow growth rate.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in recycling processes, policy changes, and increased environmental awareness among the public that could potentially drive up the recycling rates further. The stability in recent years suggests a mature market, but any new innovations or regulations could create new growth spurts.