The urban national traffic of buses and coaches in Italy saw fluctuations over the recent years, reaching 617 million vehicle-kilometers in 2023. Starting from a high in 2018 at 663 million vehicle-kilometers, the value decreased with notable drops such as the -5.68% in 2020, mainly due to the pandemic impacts. The recovery in 2021 was modest (4.23%), but subsequent years saw a general decline. The average CAGR over the past five years is -1.35%. Future forecasts indicate a steady decline, with a forecasted 2028 value of 595 million vehicle-kilometers and a forecast 5-year CAGR of -0.56%.
Trends to watch for:
- Adoption of electric and hybrid buses to meet environmental regulations.
- Increased focus on urban mobility and potential shifts towards other forms of public transport.
- Policy changes impacting funding and infrastructure for public bus and coach services.
- Technological advancements such as autonomous buses impacting operational costs and efficiency.
- Public transportation usage patterns post-COVID-19 pandemic recovery.
