Forecast: Tourist Accommodations Establishment Number by Territorial Typology in France

The number of tourist accommodation establishments in France witnessed fluctuating trends between 2013 and 2023. In 2023, there were 29.46 thousand establishments, reflecting a modest increase over previous years. The period from 2013 to 2023 experienced minor annual variations, with notable increases in the early years—2.3% in 2014 and 3.98% in 2015. However, subsequent years saw either slight declines or minimal increases, revealing a stabilization trend.

The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years was -0.13%, indicating a relatively stable but slightly decreasing trend. Meanwhile, the year-on-year variations for the recent years indicate minor positive changes, with a 0.024% increase in both 2022 and 2023.

Looking forward, the forecast for the next five years (2024-2028) predicts continued stability with minimal growth, as indicated by a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.01% and a forecasted five-year growth rate of 0.05%. This suggests that the market for tourist accommodations will likely remain steady with marginal growth.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of changing travel behaviors post-COVID-19, digital transformation in hospitality services, and evolving preferences for sustainable and eco-friendly accommodations. Monitoring these factors will be essential for anticipating shifts in tourist accommodation establishments in France.