The supply of lemons and limes in Japan is on a declining trend, with forecasts indicating a steady year-on-year decrease from 2024 to 2028. The supply drops from 93.5 thousand metric tons in 2024 to 86.73 thousand metric tons in 2028. Comparing this to 2023, the data hints at a trend where 2023 levels were likely higher than 93.5 thousand metric tons. This represents a gradual contraction in supply, with an average annual reduction (CAGR) noted over the five-year forecast period. Such a decline might indicate changes in production, import dynamics, or shifting consumer preferences.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Impact of climate change on citrus crop yields globally, potentially affecting imports.
- Shifts in consumer preferences towards alternatives like other citrus fruits.
- Policy changes affecting agriculture imports and trade agreements with key citrus-producing countries.
- Technological advancements in agriculture that could influence production efficiency.