Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in France

The perinatal mortality rate in France remained relatively stable from 2013 to 2023, standing at 10.7 deaths per thousand births in 2023. Over the past decade, there were minor fluctuations, with annual variations ranging between -1.89% and 2.88%. Notably, the rate decreased by 1.85% in 2018 and 1.89% in 2019 but saw an increase of 2.88% in 2020.

Looking at the longer-term trend, the 5-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) displayed an average variation close to zero, highlighting the stable nature of perinatal mortality rates. From 2024 to 2028, the forecast suggests consistent values without a significant increase or decrease in the rate, maintaining the 10.7 deaths per thousand births.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Advancements in prenatal and perinatal healthcare that could potentially lower mortality rates.
  • Socioeconomic factors and healthcare policies that may impact maternal and newborn health outcomes.
  • Potential effects of emerging health issues or pandemics on perinatal mortality rates.

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