The density of associate professional nurses in Japan is forecasted to decline steadily from 2024 to 2028, starting at 1.96 professionals per thousand persons in 2024 and decreasing to 1.67 by 2028. This represents a percentage decrease year-over-year of approximately 3% from 2024-2025, 2025-2026, and 2026-2027, accelerating to about 4.6% from 2027-2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this period is approximately -3.2%, indicating a consistent downtrend in nursing density.
Future trends to watch include Japan’s aging population, which may exacerbate the demand-supply gap for healthcare professionals, necessitating policy interventions to address workforce shortages and optimize healthcare delivery.
