The tax expenditure on coal in Brazil is projected to increase steadily from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, it stood at an unpublished baseline against which a consistent upward trend can be observed from 2024 onwards. Year-on-year growth rates show modest increases, reflecting gradual policy changes potentially aimed at reducing coal dependency or increasing coal-related tax revenues. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over this five-year period suggests a consistent rise in tax expenditure, emphasizing sustained financial dedication towards managing coal-derived revenues.
Future trends to monitor involve Brazil's energy transition strategies, such as variations in carbon taxation, renewable energy adoption, and international pressure on coal policies. Changes in these areas could significantly influence tax expenditure forecasts.
