Forecast: Municipal Waste Disposal Operations Output in the US

The municipal waste disposal operations output in the US has shown variability over the past decade. Between 2013 and 2023, fluctuations were evident, with values peaking and troughing, influenced by various economic and environmental factors. In 2023, the output stood at 134.29 million metric tons, highlighting an overall growth trend despite some dips, such as the notable decrease in 2020 due to the pandemic.

The year-on-year variation for the years leading up to 2023 illustrates this volatility with key points being:

  • 2018 marked a substantial increase of 4.02%.
  • Conversely, 2019 saw a slight decline of -0.63%.
  • 2020 experienced a pronounced drop of -4.52%.
  • 2022 rebounded strongly with a 5.77% increase.
  • 2023 continued this upward trajectory with a 0.47% increase.

The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) leading up to 2023 was relatively modest at 0.26%, indicating a slow but steady growth in waste disposal volumes. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 project a further annual average growth rate of 0.39%, with an overall increase of 1.97% over these five years.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in waste processing, policy changes aimed at reducing waste generation, and increased public awareness and participation in recycling and sustainability initiatives. These factors are likely to shape the trajectory of municipal waste disposal operations in the coming years.

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