In 2023, the demand for oranges and mandarins in the UAE stood at 165,000 metric tons. From 2014 to 2023, the demand has shown significant fluctuations, initially decreasing from 287,000 in 2014 to 165,000 in 2023 with a negative compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -3.68%. There was a steep decline in 2017 by -29.41%, followed by smaller year-on-year variations with a slight recovery in some years, but an overall downward trend.
Looking ahead, the forecast for the next five years continues this downward trajectory with an expected CAGR of -4.13%, resulting in a 19% decrease in demand by 2028. Future trends to watch for include potential market diversification, shifts in consumer preferences, economic factors, and the impact of governmental policies aimed at promoting local agriculture or reducing imports.
