The forecast for long-term residence permits given to Nepal citizens in Italy shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 8 permits in 2024 and reducing to 3 permits by 2028. Notably, this follows a trend of stagnation or minimal growth established in 2023. Year-on-year variations indicate declines of 25% in 2025, 16.67% in 2026, 20% in 2027, and 25% in 2028. The five-year compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) reflects an average downward trend.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Potential changes in Italian immigration policy that could affect the number of Nepali applicants
- Economic or political developments in Nepal that might influence migration patterns
- Shifts in Italy's labor market demand that could impact residence permit allocations
- Impact of bilateral relations between Nepal and Italy on migration policies.
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