Forecast: Wind Power Gross Electricity Production in the UK

The UK's wind power gross electricity production has shown considerable growth over the past decade, rising from 102.23 thousand terajoules in 2013 to 278.35 thousand terajoules in 2023. Historical data indicate notable year-on-year variability, with significant peaks such as 33.59% in 2017 and fluctuations, including a -2.06% decline in 2020. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the recent five-year period settled at 6.32%, indicating steady yet decelerating growth as the market matures.

Looking ahead, the forecast suggests continued growth, with production expected to reach 345.13 thousand terajoules by 2028. The projected 5-year CAGR of 3.42% indicates a more moderate expansion phase, with an overall growth rate of 18.34% during this period.

Future trends to watch for include technological advancements driving efficiency improvements, policy developments supporting green energy transitions, and potential impacts of climate policies and global energy market shifts. Additionally, investment in offshore wind projects and grid infrastructure enhancements will be critical in sustaining growth momentum.