Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology in Japan

The share of Japanese scientific publications in Biochemistry, Genetics, and Molecular Biology within the top 10% globally cited is projected to decrease from 2024 to 2028. In 2023, this share stood at 5.39%. Anticipated values show a steady decline, decreasing by approximately 1.9% each year. Over five years, the CAGR for this period indicates a subtle but consistent downward trend as the share dips from 5.29% in 2024 to 4.89% in 2028.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Efforts by Japan to increase research output and citation impact through collaborative international research.
  • Enhanced focus on innovation and new technology adoption in these fields could help reverse the downward trend.
  • Government policies supporting science and research funding might impact future publication shares.

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