In 2023, India's cottonseed oil stock was recorded at -16,000 metric tons, reflecting a deficit situation. Forecasts for 2024 to 2028 show a gradual increase in the deficit, with consistent negative stock variations each year. The year-on-year variation shows an increasing deficit trend: -12.5% in 2024, -5.6% in 2025, -9.5% in 2026, and -8.7% in 2027. The estimated Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for 2028 suggests an annual average change of -12.3%. This trend indicates escalating challenges in closing the gap between production and consumption.

Future trends to watch:

Monitor technological advancements and productivity improvements in cottonseed oil processing to reduce deficits.
Assess the impact of government policies on oilseed production and import regulations.
Analyze changing consumption patterns and their influence on demand-side pressures.