In 2023, China had 2.64 practicing physicians per thousand people. From 2023 to 2024, the density is forecasted to increase to 2.73, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.4%. The trend continues with annual growth rates of 2.9% from 2024 to 2025, 2.5% from 2025 to 2026, 2.4% from 2026 to 2027, and 2.0% from 2027 to 2028. Over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is anticipated to be approximately 2.6% per year.

Future trends to watch for include:

The impact of healthcare reforms on the physician workforce.
Regional disparities in physician distribution and their effect on healthcare accessibility.
Advancements in medical education that could enhance the supply of practicing physicians.
Demographic changes, such as an aging population, influencing healthcare demand.