Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Chemical Engineering in Canada

The forecasted share of Canada's top-cited chemical engineering publications shows a declining trend from 2024 to 2028, decreasing from 7.41% in 2024 to 6.62% by 2028. Compared to the previous year, the year-on-year decrease is approximately 2.8% in 2025, 2.8% again in 2026, 2.7% in 2027, and 2.8% in 2028. Over this period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for these years implies an annual decrease, indicating a shift in global citation dynamics.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Increased competition from other countries impacting Canada's citation share.
  • Investment in high-impact research areas may influence future citation rates.
  • Collaborative international efforts could affect Canada's research prominence.

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