The forecast for the import of non-coniferous hoopwood, split poles, piles, pickets, and stakes to Japan shows a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, indicating a consistent downward trend in volume. In 2023, these imports stood at a higher volume compared to the forecasted values from 2024 onwards. Between 2024 and 2025, the import volume is expected to decrease by approximately 3%, followed by similar decreases in the subsequent years, resulting in a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) reflecting a steady negative trend.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in trade policies, fluctuations in demand from the Japanese construction and manufacturing sectors, and any shifts towards sustainable or alternative materials that could impact import volumes. Additionally, monitoring currency exchange rates and global supply chain dynamics will be important as they could affect the cost and availability of imports.