The forecast for direct transfer on coal for all beneficiaries or sectors in China shows a consistent upward trend from 2024 to 2028. Starting at an estimated $2.74 billion in 2024, this value is projected to increase steadily, reaching $3.31 billion by 2028. This represents a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.81% over the five-year period. The year-on-year increases highlight a stable growth path, reflecting China's sustained reliance on coal transfers despite a strong push towards renewable energy sources.
Future trends to watch for include China's policy shifts towards renewable energy, potential fluctuations in global coal prices, and government subsidies. Additionally, tracking policy changes in environmental regulations and international trade agreements will be crucial in predicting long-term adjustments in coal transfers.