The share of Japanese scientific publications in the world's top 10% most-cited in Applied Microbiology and Biotechnology is on a declining trend. From a forecasted percentage of 3.48% in 2024, this figure is projected to decrease to 2.23% by 2028. This represents a consistent year-on-year decline, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicating an average annual decrease over the forecasted period. In comparison, the actual percentage in 2023 was higher, continuing a downward trajectory observed in recent years.
Future trends to watch for include factors influencing Japan’s research output quality, such as investments in scientific research, collaborations with international institutions, and advancements in technology. Additionally, monitoring Japan’s strategic focus within applied microbiology and biotechnology could provide insights into potential areas for reversing or mitigating this declining trend.
