In 2023, South Africa experienced 16.0 million international arrivals. The forecasted data for the upcoming years indicates a steady growth in international arrivals, with projected arrivals reaching 16.1 million in 2024, 16.312 million in 2025, 16.518 million in 2026, 16.721 million in 2027, and 16.92 million in 2028.
The year-on-year variation percentages are as follows:
- 2024: 0.62% increase from 2023
- 2025: 1.32% increase from 2024
- 2026: 1.26% increase from 2025
- 2027: 1.23% increase from 2026
- 2028: 1.19% increase from 2027
Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is approximately 1.12%, indicating a modest but consistent increase in international arrivals.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impact of global economic conditions on travel expenditure.
- Influence of travel restrictions and health protocols on tourism patterns.
- Adoption of digital visas and travel facilitation measures.
- Development of new tourist attractions and investments in infrastructure.
