Forecast: Import of Rare-Earth Metals, Scandium and Yttrium to Japan

As of 2023, Japan's import of rare-earth metals, scandium, and yttrium stood at approximately 9.7 million kilograms. The forecast for 2024 indicates a rise to 9.9354 million kilograms, marking a consistent year-on-year growth through 2028, reaching 10.908 million kilograms. Between 2024 and 2025, the increase is 2.5%, slightly diminishing annually to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is anticipated to be around 2.4%, reflecting a stable upward trend.

Future trends to watch:

  • Ongoing technological advancements and demand in electronics and renewable energy sectors may heighten import volumes.
  • Geopolitical dynamics, including trade agreements and tensions, could influence resource accessibility and costs.
  • Japan's strategic initiatives for supply diversification and recycling might impact the volume of imports.

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