The tuberculosis death rate in Brazil is forecasted to decrease from 1.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2024 and 2025 to 1.7 in 2026, eventually stabilizing at 1.6 in 2027 and 2028. This indicates a gradual downward trend over the next five years. In 2023, the death rate was 1.9, demonstrating a year-on-year decline of approximately 5.3% by 2026 and a total decrease of 15.8% by 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the forecast period reflects a consistent decrease.
Future trends to watch include advancements in healthcare access and tuberculosis treatment policies, which can accelerate the decline in death rates. Monitoring drug-resistant strains and public health initiatives will be crucial in sustaining this positive trend.
