As of 2024, the share of practising physicians aged 55-64 in Italy is projected to represent 22.37% of total physicians, a decline from the actual figures in previous years. In 2023, this age group accounted for approximately 24.5% of the total, indicating a continued downward trend. The year-on-year decreases from 2024 onward suggest a significant reduction, with a shrinking share noted throughout the forecast period. The average compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 reflects a considerable decline in representation, highlighting a demographic shift within the medical workforce.
Future trends to watch for include the potential impact on healthcare service delivery and availability, as elderly physicians retire and younger cohorts take time to replace them. This shift necessitates strategic planning around workforce sustainability and potential adjustments in medical training and recruitment.
