Forecast: Perinatal Mortality in Denmark

The perinatal mortality rate in Denmark showed fluctuations between 2013 and 2023, generally trending downward. The rate declined from 4.5 deaths per thousand births in 2013 to 3.7 in 2023. The most significant decrease occurred between 2017 and 2018, dropping by 22.73%. The long-term trend implies gradual improvement, highlighted by a cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) of -2.85% from 2013 to 2023. Nonetheless, variations fluctuated, with increases in 2014 and 2020, having yearly growth rates of 6.67% and 12.12%, respectively. In contrast, the last CAGR between 2021 and 2023 was relatively marginal at 1.71%.

Looking forward, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 predicts a continued decline in perinatal mortality from 3.6 to 3.4 deaths per thousand births, translating to a forecast 5-year CAGR of -1.14%. This suggests Denmark's efforts to reduce perinatal mortality have been effective and are expected to continue, albeit at a slower rate of improvement.

Future trends to watch include advancements in prenatal and neonatal care, healthcare policy changes, and broader public health initiatives that target maternal and child health. Monitoring these factors will be essential to sustain and potentially accelerate the reduction in perinatal mortality rates.

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