Forecast: Fresh Surface Water Abstractions for Public Water Supply in Mexico

In 2023, Mexico's fresh surface water abstractions for public water supply stood at 5.95 billion cubic meters, reflecting a 1.55% increase from the previous year. The year-on-year variations have exhibited fluctuations over the past decade, with notable spikes in 2015 and 2018 at 8.45% and 8.02%, respectively. The last two years saw a moderate growth rate of 1.75% in 2022 and 1.55% in 2023. The 5-year CAGR up to 2023 was 2.21%, suggesting steady yet modest growth.

Forecasts indicate continued upward trends with abstractions expected to rise to 6.39 billion cubic meters by 2028. The forecasted 5-year CAGR from 2023 to 2028 is projected at 1.13%, which aligns with the observed trends over the past years, suggesting stable and consistent growth in water abstractions for public supply.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of climate change on freshwater availability.
  • Potential policy changes aimed at water conservation and efficient allocation.
  • Technological advancements in water management and supply systems.
  • Population growth and urbanization, intensifying demand for public water supply.

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