The import forecast of electric filament or discharge lamps to China shows a declining trend from 2024 to 2028. The value is expected to decrease from $591.4 million in 2024 to $499.4 million by 2028. Compared to 2023, when the import value was $615 million, each forecasted year indicates a steady decline. The year-on-year change from 2023 to 2024 is approximately -3.8%. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over these five years is expected to be negative, reinforcing the downtrend.

Future trends to watch for include:

Technological advancements leading to new, more energy-efficient lighting solutions that could impact demand.
Government regulations and incentives for sustainable energy usage, potentially influencing import patterns.
Shifts in global supply chains and trade dynamics affecting the cost and availability of these products.