Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Waste Management and Disposal in Japan

The share of Japan's scientific publications in waste management among the world's top 10% cited demonstrated a steady decline from 2024 to 2028. Commencing at a forecasted 2.35% in 2024, it fell significantly to 0.18% by 2028. Compared to actual data from 2023, Japan's position weakened, suggesting a competitive challenge in maintaining publication impact. Noteworthy percentage reductions include -22.34% in 2025, -30.56% in 2026, and -43.2% in 2027. Overall, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -45.43% over the five-year period underscores a concerning downward trajectory.

Future Trends to Watch:

  • Increased investment in research initiatives could be crucial to reverse this trend.
  • Emphasis on international collaboration may boost the quality and impact of Japanese publications.
  • Monitoring changes in global waste management priorities and aligning with emerging technologies could enhance Japan's publication standings.

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