Based on the data, US transistor sales have been declining over the past decade. From 2013 to 2023, the market experienced fluctuations with occasional growth, but the overall trend has been a consistent decline. Specifically, the year-on-year sales variation shows negative growth in most years, while the last 5-year CAGR shows an average annual decrease of -8.07%. In 2023, transistor sales stood at $217.6 million, marking a significant decrease year-over-year from the previous $239.46 million in 2022.
Forecasts for 2024 and beyond predict this downward trend will continue, with an estimated 5-year CAGR of -11.79%, resulting in a nearly 46.6% drop in sales by 2028. This forecast implies that the market's contraction is expected to persist, driven by potential technological shifts, market saturation, or competition from alternative technologies.
Future trends to monitor include advancements in semiconductor technology, changes in consumer electronics demand, the rise of alternative technologies such as quantum computing, and geopolitical factors affecting the semiconductor supply chain. These elements could influence the future trajectory of transistor sales in the US.
