In 2023, international arrivals in Indonesia stood at 17.9 million. Forecasted data for the years 2024 to 2028 indicate a steady growth in arrivals: 18.768 million in 2024, 19.637 million in 2025, 20.496 million in 2026, 21.347 million in 2027, and 22.19 million in 2028. This represents year-on-year growth of 4.85% for 2024, 4.63% for 2025, 4.37% for 2026, 4.15% for 2027, and 3.95% for 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2023 to 2028 is estimated at approximately 4.39%.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from global economic shifts, changes in travel restrictions, and the effectiveness of Indonesia's tourism promotion strategies. Moreover, advancements in infrastructure and digital marketing efforts are likely to play significant roles in supporting this upward trend.