The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in nephrology in the US is forecasted to slowly decline from 94.21 in 2024 to 93.88 in 2028. In 2023, this share was slightly higher, indicating a consistent but very gradual decrease over the forecasted period.
Key observations include:
- Year-on-year decline is minimal, reflecting a barely perceptible downward trend.
- The 5-year CAGR suggests a stable trend with a slight decrease in influence or control over publications.
Future trends to watch for may include shifts in authorship dynamics, collaboration patterns, and the influence of multi-authorship or international collaboration, which could impact the leading author's share more significantly.