In 2023, the long-term residence permits given to Tunisian citizens in Italy stood at 2.70 thousand. Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 indicate a consistent year-on-year decrease in permit issuance: 2024 sees 2.58 thousand (-4.44%), 2025 at 2.46 thousand (-4.65%), 2026 at 2.35 thousand (-4.47%), 2027 at 2.25 thousand (-4.26%), and 2028 at 2.15 thousand (-4.44%). The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year forecast period reflects an average annual decline of about 4.45%.
Future trends to watch for include potential changes in immigration policies or economic conditions in Italy and Tunisia that could impact these forecasts. Additionally, shifts in labor market demands might also influence long-term residence permit allocations for Tunisian citizens.
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