Forecast: Fruits Domestic Material Consumption in Spain

Domestic material consumption of fruits in Spain fluctuated significantly between 2013 and 2022, showcasing periods of notable growth and decline. From a consumption of 11.13 million metric tons in 2013, the figure declined by 4.52% in 2014 and again by 17.99% in 2015. A recovery was noted in 2016 with an increase of 24.36%, but another decline followed in 2017. The consumption saw its peak at 11.89 million metric tons in 2018, followed by a series of declines and increases, reaching 10.55 million metric tons in 2022. Notably, 2023 saw a modest rise to 10.67 million metric tons.

Key observations include:

  • High volatility in year-on-year changes, with significant drops in certain years (e.g., 2015 and 2017) and recoveries in others (e.g., 2016 and 2018).
  • The average annual variation (CAGR) over the last five years remains slightly negative at -2.14%, indicating a general downward trend.

Future trends suggest a stable growth pattern from 2024 onward, with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 0.79% and an overall 5-year growth rate at 4.03%. Predictable factors impacting future trends include climatic changes, agricultural policies, and consumer preferences towards healthy eating. Monitoring these variables will be crucial for accurate forecasting and strategic planning.

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