Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health in Brazil

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications within the fields of Public Health, Environmental, and Occupational Health in Brazil shows a slight declining trend from 2024 to 2028, forecasting a decrease from 95.85% in 2024 to 95.4% in 2028. This series did not include values for 2023; however, the data reflects a gradual reduction. The year-on-year decline appears marginal but consistent, suggesting a slow shift in publication dynamics. From 2024 to 2028, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates a negative trend.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased collaborative efforts and multi-author publications possibly influencing author distribution.
  • The role of international co-authorship impacting the share of leading authors.
  • The influence of technological advancements on research productivity and author contribution analysis.

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