Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Waste Management and Disposal in Germany

The share of corresponding or leading authors in scientific publications on waste management and disposal in Germany showed a gradual decline from 82.76% in 2024 to 81.45% in 2028. This reflects a consistent decrease in the proportion of a single lead, indicating a minor dispersion in authorship roles. In 2023, the share stood at 83.1%, highlighting a slight downward trend year-on-year from 2023 to 2024. The projected Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the next five years depicts an average annual decline, emphasizing a shifting authorship dynamic.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased international collaboration could further influence authorship dynamics.
  • Technological advancements may democratize authorship, reducing the centralized role of lead authors.
  • Potential policy changes in scientific funding and publication could impact the structure of research teams.

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