In 2023, the number of diesel locomotives in France stood at approximately 3,000 units. Over the forecast period from 2024 to 2028, a steady decline is predicted, with numbers decreasing from 2,920 units to 2,790 units. The year-on-year trends show a consistent annual reduction ranging from 1% to 1.2%, culminating in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately -1.1%.

Future trends to watch for:

Increasing investment in electrification of rail networks could further accelerate the decline in diesel locomotive fleet.
Advancements in alternative fuel technologies and shift towards greener operations may reduce reliance on diesel locomotives.
Government policies and regulations targeting emissions may also impact future diesel locomotive usage.