Forecast: Tax Expenditure on End-Use Electricity for All Beneficiaries or Sectors in Germany

In 2024, Germany's tax expenditure on end-use electricity is forecasted to represent 0.04% of GDP. The forecast anticipates a steady decline through to 2028, falling to 0.026% of GDP. This indicates a downward trend in tax expenditure, with a significant year-on-year reduction. The year-on-year variations reveal a consistent decrease: 10% for 2025, 8.3% for 2026, 12.1% for 2027, and 10.3% for 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) reflects an average annual decrease over the five-year forecast period.

Future trends to watch:

  • Impacts of renewable energy adoption on tax policies and electricity market dynamics.
  • Potential regulatory changes aimed at increasing energy efficiency and their effect on tax expenditures.
  • Economic factors influencing electricity demand and possible adjustments in tax rates.

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