Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine in the UK

The share of corresponding/leading authors in critical care and intensive care medicine scientific publications in the UK shows a consistent decline from 87.63% in 2024 to 85.8% in 2028. Compared to 2023, this represents a decline in influence, indicating potential shifts in collaborative patterns or authorship norms. The year-on-year decrease reflects a trend where the average reduction per year over this period results in a slight erosion of the leading authors' share, suggesting a changing landscape for academic contributions.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased collaboration across international borders potentially impacting leading authorship dynamics.
  • The influence of emerging research hubs and their impact on authorship shares in the UK.
  • The role of technological advancements in facilitating equal contribution and recognition in publications.

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