In 2023, there were approximately 83.09 practising physicians in general medicine per hundred thousand persons in France. The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggests a steady decline. Starting with 82.47 in 2024, it decreases to 80.24 by 2028. Between 2024 and 2025, a year-on-year decline of 0.77% is estimated, while from 2025 to 2026, a similar downward trend of roughly 0.71% is observed. Continuing, the decline from 2026 to 2027 is about 0.65%, and from 2027 to 2028, a decrease of approximately 0.60% is expected. The five-year Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual reduction in the number of physicians.
Future trends to watch include potential impacts from health policy changes or reforms aimed at increasing the number of medical graduates. Additionally, demographic shifts or technological advancements in healthcare delivery could alter supply and demand dynamics, influencing this forecast negatively or positively.
