In 2023, the number of train wagons in France stood at 62.93 thousand. Forecasts predict a decline through 2028, with figures dropping to 53 thousand. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 3.3% to 3.6%. The five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average annual decline of around 3.4% from 2024 to 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

Potential technological advancements that might extend the lifecycle of existing train wagons or increase efficiency.
Policy changes or investments in rail infrastructure that could alter the trajectory of wagon demand.
Shifts in transportation demand, possibly influenced by climate goals and sustainable practices.