Forecast: Long-term Residence Permits Given to Madagascar Citizens in France

In 2023, long-term residence permits granted to Madagascar citizens in France stood at an actual value of approximately 1.24 thousand. Starting in 2024, this number is forecasted to decline steadily: 1.12 thousand in 2024, 1.0 thousand in 2025, 0.893 thousand in 2026, 0.784 thousand in 2027, and 0.675 thousand in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2023 to 2028 reflects a negative trend, highlighting a consistent decline in the issuance of these permits.

Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes in France that might affect immigration levels, socioeconomic conditions in Madagascar that either drive or reduce emigration, and bilateral relations between the two countries that could influence these figures. Additionally, monitoring global migration trends could provide further insights into the factors affecting the issuance of such permits.