Forecast: Import of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide) to Indonesia

The import of Oxirane (Ethylene Oxide) to Indonesia has shown considerable variability over the past decade. In 2023, the import volume stood at 121.21 thousand kilograms. There was a marked increase from 2013, reaching a peak in 2015, but the volumes have generally declined since 2017. The year-on-year variation highlights notable fluctuations, including substantial increases in some years, such as 2015 with a 103.53% increase, and significant declines in others, like 2020 with a 20.07% decrease. Over the last five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) showed a slight negative trend at -3.47%.

Future forecasts indicate a continued gradual decline in imports, projecting a 5-year CAGR of -3.79% and an overall forecasted decrease of 17.55% by 2028. This is reflective of potential market adjustments or shifts in supply chain dynamics.

Key future trends to watch for include:

  • Changes in domestic production capabilities in Indonesia which could reduce reliance on imports.
  • Environmental regulations that may impact the production and trade of ethylene oxide.
  • Developments in alternative materials or substitutes that could influence demand.

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