Based on the provided data, the forecasted import volume of roses to Poland from 2024 to 2028 shows a decreasing trend. The values are as follows: 981.38 thousand kilograms in 2024, 980.31 thousand kilograms in 2025, 979.26 thousand kilograms in 2026, 978.23 thousand kilograms in 2027, and 977.22 thousand kilograms in 2028. In 2023, the actual import volume stood at 982.79 thousand kilograms.
The year-on-year variation from 2023 to 2024 shows a slight decrease of 0.14%. This decreasing trend continues in the subsequent years with marginal annual declines. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -0.1%, indicating a consistent, albeit minor, reduction in the volume of rose imports to Poland over the five-year period.
Future trends to watch for include changes in consumer preferences, economic conditions in Poland that could affect purchasing power, and potential disruptions in the supply chain due to global events or trade regulations. Additionally, sustainability and environmental concerns might influence both the demand and supply side of flower imports. Keep an eye on advancements in local cultivation techniques which could reduce dependence on imported roses.
