Forecast: Fruits Supply in South Africa

The analysis of the fruit supply in South Africa reveals notable year-on-year fluctuations, indicating volatility in consumption over recent years. The supply peaked in 2014 at 28.4 kg per capita before experiencing a significant drop in 2016 to 19.5 kg. Although there were slight recoveries in subsequent years, stabilizing to 22.6 kg per capita from 2022 and expected to remain constant through 2028. In 2023, the supply stood at 22.6 kg per capita per year. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) averages at -0.69%, reflecting a slight downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential impact of climate change on fruit yields, which could further affect supply.
  • Shifts in consumer behavior towards more or less fruit consumption.
  • Economic factors and agricultural policies that may influence production and distribution.

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